Chapter 1 Introduction and Review of Probability Theory
- Describe the definition of Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
- The definition of mode, median
- The expectation of a random variable is the ___ of all its possible outcomes
- For a continuous random variable with probability density function , what is the expectation of is defined as?
- The drawback of the mean.
- When could mode = median = mean?
- How to calculate ?
- Recall the Question 7, suppose , , calculate .
- Definition of Variance
- Formula of variance in discrete case and continuous case
- , , what is
- How to prove
- What is the standard deviation
- Moments
- What is an estimate?
- What is an estimator?
Chapter 2
- What is sample mean?
- What is sample variance?
- What is sample covariance?
- What is sample correlation?
- What does LLN (Law of Large Numbers) mean?
Chapter 3
- What does consistency in OLS mean?
- The OLS Estimator of the slope for the simple regression model is
- Why we can’t use min to make the model more precise?
Chapter 4
- What does VIF maen?
Chapter 5 Time Series Analysis
- What is lagged value?
- What is forward value?
- Why we use logarithms to analysis the problem?
- The standard deviation of the logarithm of the series is approximately ___ .
Chapter 6 Instrumental Variables Regression
TA 课
- 关注每个Recap Question!
- 无偏(1-4)
- 效率(5-6)
- OVB Multicollinearity (Recap)
- 2022 年 T 3 Iterative Resubstitution 超级重要
- 内生性问题,超级重要
- Omitted Variable 定义?如何解决?OLS,
- Instrumental Variable 2 SLS(尤其重要,这两步分别在做什么?)
- 不太可能会在选择题出现 table 直接开始分析
- 关注
- Measurement Error 指在收集过程中就已经出错了,(sample 本身有问题)(在火车上统计春运买到票的)
关于 Computation Question
- 会和 Assignment 比较像
- Confidence Interval 必考
- 如何判断是否显著?1. 查 t 表,括号里是 error,拿着自己的 sample size 去看自己是否
- Clustered Standard Error
- 稳健?
关于考试本身
- 今年考试难度不会超过这个
- 分数会给的很松
- OLS Consistency / Esimation
Answer
Chapter 5
- is called the jth lagged value
- is called the jth forward value
- Logarithm of the series grows approximately linearly. Another reason is that the standard deviation of many economic time series is approximately proportional to its level; that is, the standard deviation is well expressed as a percentage of the level of the series.
- Constant
OLS Estimation of general time series P 16 页 ADL 这个 model ADL 有啥用 P 17 页 optimization RSS 是啥(估计误差平方和? P 36 oracle forecast 是啥该怎么用的 P 39 那两个 MSFE 的方法 RSS 是什么 P 42 dynamic causal effect P 46 这个 dynamic effect 和 immediate effect 分不清该怎么解释 coefficient P 50 这个 variance 怎么来的啊前面估计了贝塔1 P 51 Naive estimator P 52 Newey-west robust standard error 完全看不懂在干嘛